When Rick Perry says we should be honest about Social Security, he should start with himself

USA Today today gave Texas Governor Rick Perry about 350 words to explain his position on Social Security, which he called a “Ponzi scheme” last week in the debate between Republican presidential candidates.

The headline, “Rick Perry: I am going to be honest with the American people,” said it all, but in the negative.  Mr. Perry has not been honest with the American people about Social Security and he has no intention of starting now.

Let’s begin with a discussion of “honesty of tone”: Social Security needs a few relatively easy adjustments to remain financially viable.  But Perry’s tone reminds me of the boy who cried wolf or the proverbial unpatriotic soul who cries fire in a theatre when there is none.  He is vociferously fearful, as if Social Security were the bubonic plague.

The truth is much less unsettling: Social Security has a temporary challenge that was created when the American public decided to have an historically large number of babies between 1946-1964, and then decided to have an historically low number of babies for the 20 years thereafter.  This demographic aberration (in which the rest of the world also participated) is resulting in a temporarily smaller base of workers to support retirees.  For decades, every year we collected more in Social Security taxes for the Social Security Trust Fund than we paid out in benefits. I think it was last year that we started paying out more than we took in, a situation that will continue for a while.  But the large surplus in the Trust Fund means that we won’t actually enter into deficit spending from the Social Security Trust fund for another 30-50 years (depending upon whose estimates you take).

Now that’s an easy challenge, one that we have a long time to address.  Thus, when Cowboy Rick talks about “the dire financial challenges” and “hard facts,” he is exaggerating the problem.  I think the stridency and frequency with which he slams Social Security transforms his exaggerations into out-and-out lies.

In his short USA Today Op/Ed piece, Perry sticks to generalities, but has the space to make an enormous assumption that is tantamount to a lie: “By 2037, retirees will only get roughly 76 cents back for every dollar that is put into Social Security unless reforms are implemented.” In fact, if nothing is done, the Social Security Trust Fund will continue to pay out benefits, but do so through deficit spending (which is how we’re paying $3 trillion for two useless wars!).  But if Perry has his way, reforms will reduce the amount paid out.  So in fact the fear of lost benefits that Perry is raising will come true with his reform.  That sounds like a lie to me.

Which does not mean I’m against reforming the system.  I just don’t want to do it Perry’s way, which I believe is to gut benefits and privatize the system.  I can’t really prove that’s what he believes for this OpEdge entry, however, since he has nothing about Social Security on his campaign website and his recent statements just tell us how much he hates it.  His general article in USA Today says nothing about what he would do to fix the system.  In fact, the piece does not contain the accusations in his book that Social Security is an illegal and unconstitutional Ponzi scheme.  I would call that a lie by omission.

One more lie, only implicit in his USA Today piece, is to pretend that all Social Security taxes get paid into the general government ledger.  It’s a common assumption for most of those who want to gut the system, but it’s not true: the money is paid to the Trust Fund, which loans money to the federal government.  By stating otherwise, opponents to Social Security paint a far worse financial picture for Social Security, but that dark view depends entirely on the United States dead-beating its own citizens.

Perry says that he wants us to have a “frank, honest conversation.”  If he were really interested in the truth, Perry would point out that we could easily solve the future Social Security problem if we took the cap off the income limit for the tax.  Right now, people only pay Social Security on their first $106,800 in income.  No one pays Social Security taxes on amounts they make in excess of $106,800.  Remove this cap and Social Security is fully funded into the foreseeable future.

But of course that would mean taxing the well-to-do and wealthy, who currently are enjoying the lowest taxes in the history of the industrialized world.  Cowboy Rick, long a friend of corporate interests and the wealthy, wouldn’t want that. And that’s no lie.

Our 10-year reaction to 9/11 has killed 225,000, ruined our economy and shamed our national conscience

Where was I?

In my office in downtown Pittsburgh speaking by phone with the Manhattan-based chief financial officer of a Fortune 500 company whose habit was to have a financial TV station on in his office constantly for the stock ticker.  Suddenly he cuts me off mid-sentence and screams, “Oh, s—t, on the TV, right now, an airplane is crashing into the Twin Towers.” 

September 11, 2001 has been the ultimate “where were you” moment in my lifetime.  The other contenders would be the assassinations of President Kennedy and John Lennon and the resignation of President Nixon.

An extraordinary number of people remember where they were and what they were doing when they first learned that two airplanes had crashed into the Twin Towers on September 11, causing it to topple.  Many, like me, have two or three anecdotes to tell about that day or about people they know survived.  For example, I heard that my cousin’s husband was in his car on the way to work at the Twin Towers when he saw the building crumble before his eyes and realized that if he had not returned home halfway in his trip to drive his daughter to school that morning because she had forgotten her homework, he would be underneath the rubble.

During the weekend of ceremonies and news reports, most Americans over the age of 14 will remember where they were and what they were doing when they first heard or saw the horror.

And they’ll remember, and be reminded of, the nearly 3,000 victims of the attacks and the valiant efforts of the New York City police and fire departments to help them.  And they’ll remember, and be reminded of, the passengers of Flight 93 who fought back and thereby prevented another plane from crashing in our nation’s capital.  And they’ll remember the soldiers who have died and those who have returned from the two wars that we have fought since then in the name of defeating terrorism.

But we will we remember that the wars themselves were foolish and useless?

More broadly, will we remember that 9/11 plunged the country into a temporary madness that allowed us to accept the dark premises of the Bush II regime? Will we remember that the country and the world still suffer because of the actions that our government chose to make in the names of all of us in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks? 

Let’s do a quick tally of what the United States has wrought since 9/11:

  • Waged two long, bloody but completely aimless wars that we began because the Bush II regime lied to us about basic facts and we are still fighting because the Obama regime is too gutless to abandon them. The recent study titled Costs of War by researchers at Brown University’s Watson Institute tells the story here:
    • 225,000 people killed (low estimate), including 6,051 U.S. soldiers and 2,300 U.S. contractors.
    • $3.2-$4 trillion already spent or obligated for future spending, and counting.
  • These wars have drained our country of much-needed funds for job creation and infrastructure rebuilding and are the single biggest reason we face a debt crisis (no matter how much the anti-Social Security/Medicare crowd may lie about it!)
  • We created a hidden worldwide gulag in which we degraded ourselves by stooping to the level of the Torquemadas, Himmlers and Stalins of the world to illegally torture prisoners, despite the fact that that torture is immoral and all reputable research proves that it does not work.
  • We established a security state that can too easily pry into our lives and abridge our individual freedoms.
  • We have fostered a new wave of discrimination, this time against Muslims and immigrants.
  • We have lost a lot of respect in the world, especially among developing countries.

In a sense, we have allowed Osama bin Laden to win, because so many of us, including national (Republican) leaders, have bought into his idea of a holy war between the West and Islam.  The torture policy and security apparatus make us much less the “land of the free” than we were on September 10, 2011.  The financial burden of the war and our sullied reputation in the world have weakened us and made us less capable of sustaining a (hypothetically) necessary war or addressing our economic problems.

I’m convinced that a President Al Gore would have had a more measured reaction that would not have included the Iraqi War or torture and would not have cost the country so much money and caused so much misery both here and in the places we have leveled.  But we’ll never know.

I don’t expect George W. Bush, Dick Cheney, Donald Rumsfeld, John Ashcroft, John Yoo, Eric Prince and their ilk to feel any shame at what they wrought.  But during the sadness of the day, I hope the rest of us take a moment to also contemplate our guilt.  Since our leaders act in our name, all of us are responsible for their actions. 

In Republican debate, Rick Perry draws his gun and shoots himself in the foot.

Texas Governor Rick Perry came to last night’s debate of Republican presidential candidates with both six-shooters blazing.  Unfortunately for Cowboy Rick, the recently anointed frontrunner, all he managed to hit were his own feet.  Again and again.

From the onset, co-moderator Brian Williams set up a shoot-out between Cowboy Rick and former governor, investment banker and trust-fund baby Mitt Romney.  Romney mowed him down cleanly, coming off as a more flexible, sensible, knowledgeable and truthful person.  Of course I was the guy who though Carter outperformed Reagan in the 1980 debates (which I covered as a news writer for the San Francisco NBC affiliate).

But later on all of Perry’s wounds were self-inflicted: He came off looking very bad in his comments against Social Security.  It was made exceedingly clear that Perry was talking about destroying Social Security, whereas Romney merely wanted to reform it.

Perry’s comments against the theory of global warming were practically incoherent, as if he suddenly decided to be the star student in the George W. Bush School of Public Speaking.  The gist of his comments were that the economy can’t withstand the cost of environmental regulations.

Within Cowboy Rick’s many inconsistencies on global warming was a gem comparing his view that global warming isn’t occurring—the opinion of an infinitesimally small fraction of scientists—to Galileo being in the minority.  The problem with the Galileo analogy, which Cowboy Rick has used before, is that Galileo was not in the minority among scientists.  He was persecuted by a Church that had an economic interest in suppressing Galileo’s discoveries because they threatened the Church’s central place in the universe.  In the updated version of the Galileo persecution, Rick Perry, a representative of short-sighted energy and manufacturing interests, is playing the part of the Church, threatened by the new knowledge that science is discovering.

It wasn’t a very good day for Cowboy Rick.  While wild fires raged across a parched central Texas, reports of Perry’s slashing of the budget for fire-fighting began to get broader play in the media.  Huffington Post laid out the facts quite succinctly: ”The Texas Forest Service’s funding was sliced from $117.7 million to $83 million. More devastating cuts hit the assistance grants to volunteer fire departments around the state. Those grants were slashed 55 percent from $30 million per year in 2010 and 2011 to $13.5 million per year in 2012 and 2013. Those cuts are effective now.”

Watching the Republican Party and the mass media conspire to keep the focus almost exclusively on Romney and Perry reminded me of a show trial in a totalitarian regime.  Romney and Perry were located in the center of the group.  They received the first questions and were allowed to go at each other for a while before anyone else could get a word in.  In fact, the debate had gone on for about 20 minutes before Michele Bachmann could say anything.  But that didn’t prevent Bachmann from telling a bold-faced lie soon after her lips began moving.  She claimed she met a restaurant owner with 30 employees who had or was going to lay off one third of his workforce because of the healthcare reform law.  It had to be a lie, or the restaurant owner must be the very worst small business owner in American history, at least when it comes to carrying excess labor.

I can understand why both the Republicans and the mass media like Romney and Perry.  The Gov and ex-Gov have raised the money.  In the case of the media, it makes sense to want a candidate who has raised more money, because that candidate will spend more money on advertising. 

To those who think Mitt and Cowboy Rick received all the attention because they are the frontrunners, I assert that they are the frontrunners precisely because they have the money.  Rick leaped to the top of the media hit list before he leaped to the top of the polls because the media always covers the moneyed candidate.  It was Mitt’s money that made him the center of media attention in the 2008 election cycle.  The news media will consistently cover the candidates with more of their own or other people’s money than they do the other candidates.  That coverage then helps the moneyed candidate become the frontrunner in the polls.  

What was the Smithsonian thinking when it accepted money from the “UnHistory” Channel for a natural history exhibit?

On my recent trip to Washington, D.C., I visited the wonderful Smithsonian National Museum of Natural History.  The museum excels at meeting its mission to dedicate itself “to inspiring curiosity, discovery, and learning about the natural world through its unparalleled research, collections, exhibitions, and education outreach programs.”  The many exhibits explore evolution, geography, mineralogy, biology, archeology, anthropology, oceanography, climatology and other natural sciences with verve and with very little of the dumbing down that often dooms natural history and science museums.  The collection of specimens, dinosaur bones, trilobite fossils, primate skulls, gems, stuffed animals and other artifacts is magnificent.

What I want to explore today is a temporary exhibition we saw called “Written in Bone: Forensic Files of the 17th-Century Chesapeake,” which uses the methodologies of anthropologists to examine history through 17th-century bone biographies, including those of colonists on the edge of survival at Jamestown, Virginia and those of wealthy individuals in St. Mary’s City, Maryland.  “Written in Bone” depicts how researchers use recent technological breakthroughs to clarify and test the assumptions of colonial history.

A very interesting exhibition, but why did the Smithsonian have to stoop to taking money from the History Channel and letting the History Channel co-sponsor it?

Go ahead and ask me what my objection is to the Smithsonian partnering with the History Channel is, or the UnHistory Channel, as I like to call it.

It all comes down to the programming. 

Let’s look, for example, at the UnHistory Channel’s shows throughout the day and prime-time last Sunday: documentaries about ice-road truckers, pawn brokers, the impact of aliens on  ancient engineers, UFO’s and Bigfoot.  Note that there is nothing that’s pure history or natural history.  Instead we see reality-show slumming mixed with irrational beliefs such as aliens affecting the Earth and imaginary creatures.

The weekday lineup isn’t much better.  This week’s morning and afternoon programming on the UnHistory Channel includes shows on comic book heroes, UFO hunters, people who scour thrift stores for bargains, the Templar code (popular because of its fictional use in recent Dan Brown fictions), “MonsterQuest,” which “uses the latest high-tech equipment to take a scientific look at legendary creatures around the world” and “God versus Satan,” which explores theological beliefs surrounding a mythical celestial battle called Armageddon.

Weeknight primetime programming is no better: UFOs, ancient aliens, theology and pawn shops fill the bill, although later in the week, UnHistory Channel does have one prime-time show about the day after the September 11 attacks and another about New York City.

I understand that public institutions have faced funding challenges since President Ronald Reagan put them on a starvation diet that continues unabated after 30+ years.  But why stoop to accepting money and thereby providing widespread positive publicity to an organization that seems dedicated to tearing down everything that the National Natural History Museum stands for?  By entering into a “partnership” with the UnHistory Channel, the Natural History Museum endorses that TV station’s programs and approach to programming, which essentially is to give the superstitious, the theocrats and the intellectually lazy what they want, instead of presenting truth and examining real historical and scientific controversies.

When a natural history museum accepts funding from banks, computer companies, oil companies and other large corporations, it sometimes finds itself dealing with entities that damage the environment or would prefer to deny the impact of global warming.  But denying global warming or drilling for oil in protected lands is not the mission of these companies, it’s a byproduct of their short-sided approach to their real missions.  Like most people, these corporations are ethically complex creatures. They do many things, some bad and some very good.

But the mission of the UnHistory Channel, as seen in its programming, is completely antithetical to any natural history museum.  Virtually every show the channel currently airs is harmful to legitimate science and history, because it 1) enables unscientific and unhistorical myths to fester; 2) passes off irrational belief as empirical science;  or 3) plays into the most trivial concerns of contemporary reality television such as pawn shops and those who drive trucks over ice.

Throughout the “Written in Bone” exhibition were little icons of UnHistory Channel sponsorship.  Perhaps because of the colonial connection, I looked at these icons as little badges of shame, much like Hawthorne’s scarlet letter on the dress of the adulteress, Hester Pryne.  The difference of course is that the fictional colonial Bostonian society forced Hester to wear her bright red A.  By contrast, the Smithsonian has willingly embraced its badges of shame.

The Smithsonian should have passed on working with the UnHistory Channel on “Written in Bone,” and it should accept no future funding from the UnHistory Channel. 

United States should turn the Holocaust Museum into a museum against all genocide

It has been very hard for me to write my thoughts upon seeing the United States Holocaust Memorial Museum for the first time last week, even though I knew what I wanted to say from the moment I saw the first display.  The difficulty comes in overcoming my powerful emotional reaction as a Jew so that I can write as an American about how the Holocaust Museum fits into my country’s distorted self-image.

The Holocaust Museum presents in stunning detail the step-by-step process that the Nazis and their German and non-German collaborators took first to strip European Jews of their wealth, places in society and dignity, and then to destroy them in one of the most horrifying and efficient mass murders in human history.  An oppressively riotous succession of disturbing images fills the museum—photographs, posters, signs, books, films, disembodied voices, maps, implements of torture and murder, railroad cars, concentration camp bunkers, personal effects, even the shoes of the gassed.  The crowded approach of many of our national museums works to poignant effect here, as it makes us feel in spots the claustrophobic terror of the railway cars and camp bunkers.  The Museum does an excellent job on the facts, even tracking the indifference of the United States and the rest of the world to the fate of the Jews and other Nazi victims.  I can’t imagine any sane person not coming away from the museum a little ashamed of the human race and dedicated to ending genocide.

A moving experience and a worthwhile museum…but the United States had no business building it, and it has no business funding it.

I object to the American government involvement in the Holocaust Museum because it’s only one genocide among many and one for which the United States is almost completely blameless.  Yet while we give $47.3 million a year to support this reminder of Germany’s inhumanity to Jews, we don’t have a single museum dedicated to slavery, nor one dedicated to the destruction of Native Americans.  While it is true that other museums touch upon the American horrors of Native American genocide and genocidal slavery,  none in the United States is dedicated exclusively to these shameful activities, each of which lasted about 20 times as long as the Nazi era.  In fact, the idea for a National Museum of Slavery died in 2008 for lack of funding and a Museum of Slavery and the Civil War in Selma, Alabama is so small it doesn’t even have a website or Wikipedia listing.

We ignore our history and yet can summon up the resources to commemorate the destruction of a tiny minority elsewhere (my people, but a tiny minority).

Contrast the way the United States has swept its genocidal atrocities under the rug to what Gemany has done since World War II.  There are 7 holocaust museums in Germany, plus a large number of memorials and internment camps.  Virtually every city has a public monument that explicitly says, “We did a horrible thing which we will never do again.”  Now to many victims and their families, saying “I’m sorry” just isn’t enough.  But it’s better than ignoring one’s own crimes while pointing a finger at a former enemy across the ocean.

There is a way, though, for the United States to escape this contradiction of memorializing one foreign atrocities while ignoring our own: We can repurpose the Holocaust Museum to make it a National Museum against Genocide.

Instead of three floors of exhibits about one example of genocide, we could have separate sections for a number of genocides, including, among others, the recent Rwandan, Darfur and Srebrenica genocides; the Holodomor (Stalin’s Ukrainian genocide by starvation); the Armenian genocide by the Turks at the end of World War I; the British 19th century Black War against the Tasmanian aborigines; the 19th century Great Irish and the World War II Bengali famines, both induced by British economic policies; the 16th century destruction of the Dzungar Mongols by the Chinese Qing Dynasty; the 15th century destruction of the Chama by the Vietnamese; and the German’s early 20th century destruction of the Herero and the Nama in Southwest Africa.

Who knows?  In a United States National Museum against Genocide, there might even be a little room for exhibits on American slavery and our explicit policy of destruction of Native Americans. 

With real unemployment more than 16%, why are experts worried that the labor force may be shrinking

Perhaps to dishonor Labor Day, over the weekend Bloomberg Finance broadcast an article bemoaning the fact that the U.S. labor force may be shrinking.  What they are talking about is not the number of jobs but the number of people with or looking for jobs.

The key fact presented by writers Steve Matthews and Joshua Zumbrun is that over the next 40 years, the labor force is expected to grow by a mere .6% a year, compared to the 2% a year growth rate from 1950 to 2008, at which point the great recession of 2008-20?? hit and the labor force began to shrink.

The article and its several experts and worried corporate leviathans argue that with fewer workers, there will be less income around to purchase stuff, therefore the economy will shrink.  The experts present a perfect mirror image to the widely-held belief that an economy can only prosper if it is growing and it can only grow if the population grows.  They reduce economic planning to a homily: population increase leads to economic growth; population decrease leads to economic trouble. I would assert, however, that it‘s possible for an economy to thrive in stasis, and in fact imperative that we pursue no-growth and negative-growth strategies to address resource depletion and human-induced global warming.

But we don’t even have to question the much-employed shibboleth of growth to realize what’s behind the worries of the economic experts and corporations: they’re all afraid that wages will go up for the working stiff.

Let’s start by reviewing the reason given in the article for the decline in the workforce (actually the stagnation of the workforce): fewer women in the workforce and the retirement of the enormous baby boom generation.

In other words, people are leaving the labor force but not dying or leaving the country.  And is that such a bad thing? Don’t we have an official unemployment rate that’s more than 9% and a real rate of unemployment (which includes those underemployed and those who have stopped looking for work) of more than 16%?  If the labor force shrinks, unemployment will shrink, won’t it? (And remember that for years the real estate bubble bloated our job roles with all those unnecessary broker, appraiser, builder, banking, insurance and related jobs that will never return.)

The women and retirees leaving or not entering the workforce aren’t going to disappear.  They will still need goods and services that their spouses, families, Social Security or retirement plans will finance. Now unless we have immigration, our population will shrink when baby boomers start to pass away in large numbers, but the Bloomberg article isn’t talking about population shrinkage.  It’s talking about the labor force shrinking relative to the population because of retirements and lifestyle changes.

An axiom of all economic theories, be they free market or Marxist, is that when the supply of any good or service decreases, its relative value to purchasers increases and so does its price.  And that’s what the large corporations, the economists that do their “big picture” thinking and the journalists who indoctrinate the world with their messages are all afraid of.  They are afraid that with fewer workers, they’ll eventually have to start paying more at every level, from burger flippers to physical therapists, from sanitation workers to (heaven forbid) school teachers!  It may even be possible to reverse the 30+-year trend of stagnant or lower wages that has plagued virtually everyone employed who doesn’t own or operate a business.

Obama once again capitulates to the right-wing instead of challenging it with the truth

Earlier today, the Obama administration announced that it is abandoning its plan to tighten air-quality rules to reduce emissions of smog-causing chemicals.  The announcement comes after weeks of zealous lobbying by large corporations, which said the new rule would cost billions of dollars and hundreds of thousands of jobs.

The move—or in this case, lack of a move—is one more example of Obama giving in to the right-wing’s nonsense instead of fighting it with facts and backbone.  Just as with the extension of the temporary tax cuts for the wealthy and the linking of raising the debt limit to spending cuts, the Obama Administration seems to be afraid to stand up to Republicans. 

In the earlier examples, Obama delineated centrist positions and proposals, and then backed down and agreed to a rightwing deal in the spirit of “compromise.”

Today’s decision not to improve air quality is somewhat different because Obama is not just backing down, he’s also accepting the falsehoods of the other side.

The big lie, one that few among the chattering classes ever care to expose, is that environmental regulations cost jobs.  Even a cursory look at the clean environment = lost jobs argument demonstrates its illogical core.

Let’s start with the true part of what the right-wingers are saying: environmental regulation does cost money.  But where is the money going?  Towards new technology and equipment to limit the emissions from electrical power generation and other industrial processes. 

And that means jobs: jobs to design, build, ship, sell, install, use and maintain the clean air technologies and other jobs to file reports with the government. (I should also admit that over time a much lesser number of jobs will also be lost, as fewer people become ill and the impacts of global warming are mitigated, thus reducing the need for those who make money from such tragedies.  But I don’t see why anyone would not want us to lose those related jobs.)

So the billions of dollars to comply with these regulations really is not money lost to the economy, but money transferred from corporate profit to new jobs.  To be sure, some corporations may raise prices, which means that the general public will share in the cost of creating these new jobs.  But corporations raising prices always runs into the price sensitivity of consumers: if you raise prices too much, fewer people will buy your product.  And I don’t believe corporate America is going to stop producing goods and services because the profit margin decreases.  I should also point out that tax policy and government programs could help mitigate for the poor the increase in prices that could come from stronger air emission regulations.

Thus, if the Obama Administration had gone through with its original plan to strengthen emission standards the economic impact would have been to:

  • Create jobs
  • Effect a net transfer of wealth from corporate profit (executives and rich folk) to the unemployed.

But no one in the Obama Administration pointed out that the billions would not be lost but essentially transferred from groups with money to the unemployed.  No one pointed out that the new environmental regulations would not destroy jobs but create them.  And no one pointed out that the end result of this transfer of wealth would be cleaner air, which would help slow down global warming and result in a healthier population.

In short, instead of challenging the false premises of the rightwing, Obama threw in his cards and threw up his hands.

The Obama Administration released some weasely words about wanting to keep reducing paperwork.  (Another red herring, because paperwork creates jobs, as companies need people to measure stuff and fill out the forms.  To complete the circle on paperwork, the burden on small businesses is not great, since virtually all government paperwork and regulation beyond taxes and business structure is for companies with 15 or more employees, which is quite a nice sized business.)

I have three theories about why Obama has turned out to be Republican except in name:

  • Like Jack Kennedy and Jimmy Carter, he hasn’t had enough experience in politics to be an effective wielder of power.
  • Obama always was a right-winger and we misinterpreted him or he lied to us to get elected, much like the head of the Dover, Pennsylvania school board lied in a deposition about who funded the purchase of creationist literature to avoid the judge making a pre-trial ruling against the use of the claptrap in the school (see page 145, Charles Pierce’s Idiot America).
  • He is feeding from the same trough as the Republicans, that is, depending on right-wing business interests for campaign funding and future considerations.

I don’t know which one it is or if it’s something else, but the result is the same.  Unlike Bill Clinton, who stood down the Republicans on the federal government shutdown or Lyndon Johnson, the ultimate velvet sledgehammer when it came to making people do the right thing (and in the tragic case of the Viet Nam War, the wrong thing, too), Obama has proven to be spinelessly ineffective.